Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 93% |
| Dallas Stars | 90% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 87% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 86% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 85% |
| Florida Panthers | 82% |
| Minnesota Wild | 78% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 77% |
| Washington Capitals | 70% |
| Utah Mammoth | 66% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 63% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 57% |
| San Jose Sharks | 56% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 55% |
| New Jersey Devils | 54% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 52% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 52% |
| Ottawa Senators | 47% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 45% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 40% |
| St. Louis Blues | 36% |
| New York Rangers | 35% |
| Boston Bruins | 34% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 33% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 32% |
| Nashville Predators | 28% |
| New York Islanders | 27% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 25% |
| Seattle Kraken | 17% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 14% |
| Calgary Flames | 13% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 93% chance of which teams will make the nhl playoffs?. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team makes the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A team will be considered to have made the Playof…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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