Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 178.5 | 100% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 179.5 | 100% |
| Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| O/U 180.5 | 100% |
| Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
Market context
The WNBA fixture between Chicago Sky and Atlanta Dream, scheduled for 19 July in College Park, Georgia, has resolved with Atlanta securing an 82–75 victory, confirming the market outcome as Atlanta Dream. This result aligns with the crowd-implied 0% probability for a Sky win, reflecting their severe struggles this season. The Sky sit at 9–17 overall and just 1–7 within the Eastern Conference, having lost their two-game win streak in this encounter after a five-game skid earlier in the month[2]. Historically, Atlanta has dominated this pairing, winning the previous meeting on 9 June by seven points and securing a crushing 86–49 triumph on 16 July where Griner scored 15 points[3][4].
Traders should monitor injury updates and line-up confirmations, as key absences have consistently skewed this fixture’s outcome. Chicago’s Skylar Diggins has missed six consecutive games due to a knee injury, while Atlanta’s Te-Hina Paopao missed her second straight match with a leg issue, yet Atlanta still managed three straight wins[2]. The head-to-head record heavily favours the Dream, who have won four of their last five games against the Sky, including the most recent 86–49 blowout[4]. With Atlanta sitting at 15–10 and an 8–3 conference record compared to Chicago’s 2–11 conference mark, the line movement was driven by Atlanta’s superior form and Chicago’s inability to compete in games decided by ten points or more, where they hold a 5–15 record[3][4].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $419K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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