🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky

How the prediction market is pricing "Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -3.5 100% O/U 171.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% O/U 173.5 100% Volume: $283K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 31 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -3.5100%
O/U 171.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 173.5100%
O/U 175.5100%
O/U 176.5100%
O/U 177.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 12.598%
Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.598%
Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 11.591%
Aneesah Morrow: Points O/U 11.591%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 6.591%
Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 13.591%
Aneesah Morrow: Points O/U 12.591%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 7.591%
Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.550%
Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 16.510%
Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 11.510%
Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.510%
Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 3.510%
Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 12.510%
Aneesah Morrow: Rebounds O/U 8.510%
Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 17.510%
Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.510%
Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 6.510%
Charlisse Leger-Walker: Assists O/U 4.510%
Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.510%
Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.52%
Aneesah Morrow: Rebounds O/U 9.52%
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky0%
Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 13.50%

Market context

Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky is a late-July WNBA regular-season meeting between two teams that have struggled for consistency, which helps explain why the crowd price has sat at a near-zero belief in one outcome rather than a balanced 50-50 read. The most recent head-to-head between the sides was lopsided: Connecticut beat Chicago 92-63 on 22 June, a result that also highlighted how strongly the Sun can swing this matchup when their shot-making and rebounding edge shows up. Earlier in June, though, Chicago had already beaten Connecticut 85-80, so the series has not been one-way this season.[1][5][10][14]

Form coming into the game was weak on both sides, but Chicago had the cleaner recent scoring line in the listings, while Connecticut had just come off heavy defeats, including a 123-88 loss to Indiana and a 92-84 loss to Washington.[7] ESPN’s game page also showed both teams sitting near the bottom of the conference, with Connecticut at 7-21 and Chicago at 9-18, which is the sort of profile that can make a market overreact to one-sided recent box scores if rotation news changes late.[2][7] For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed starting line-ups and any late injury updates, especially around ball-handling and interior defence; ESPN’s preview on 5 June had already flagged Chicago absences in the backcourt and frontcourt, including Courtney Vandersloot and Gabriela Jaquez, showing how quickly availability can reshape this fixture.[14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -3.5 at 100% for "Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky".

Spread -3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $283K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports