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Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream

"Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5 75% Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream 65% Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 50% Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.5 50% Volume: $471K Liquidity: $771K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.575%
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream65%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 24.550%
Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.550%
Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 17.550%
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.550%
Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.550%
Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.550%
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.550%
Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.550%
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 9.550%
Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.550%
Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.550%
Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.550%
Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.550%
Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.550%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 25.550%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 22.550%
Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Allisha Gray: Points O/U 19.550%
Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 4.550%
Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 18.550%
Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 3.550%
Spread -1.533%
Spread -2.528%
O/U 187.525%
O/U 188.523%
O/U 189.521%
Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.518%
Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.50%

Market context

The Indiana Fever travel to Atlanta on 16 August for a regular-season WNBA matchup against the Dream, with settlement occurring immediately following the final whistle. The 65% implied probability favours Indiana, reflecting their stronger positioning in the 2024 season standings and recent momentum. Atlanta enters the fixture with a depleted roster, whilst Indiana's core remains intact and performing consistently in close contests.

Indiana's recent form has centred on their ability to execute in tight fourth-quarter situations, winning three of their last four games by margins under five points. The Fever's defence has tightened considerably since mid-July, holding opponents to sub-80 points in two consecutive outings. Atlanta, conversely, has struggled with bench depth following injuries to key rotation players; their last three defeats came against teams ranked outside the top eight, suggesting vulnerability against competent opposition. The Dream's offensive efficiency has declined measurably over the past fortnight, averaging 72 points per game across their most recent five contests.

Head-to-head records between these franchises show Indiana winning four of the last six regular-season meetings, though Atlanta secured a narrow victory in their most recent encounter in June. Traders should monitor team announcements through 16 August regarding any late-breaking injuries or roster adjustments; the WNBA's condensed schedule occasionally produces unexpected availability changes within 48 hours of tip-off. Weather conditions in Atlanta pose minimal concern for an indoor venue fixture. The settlement window closes at 21:00 ET on match day, allowing minimal time for post-game clarifications on scoring disputes.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5 at 75% for "Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream".

Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $471K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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