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Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Football snapshot for "Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 65% Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 17.5 63% Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty 59% 1H Moneyline 59% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $519K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.565%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 17.563%
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty59%
1H Moneyline59%
Spread -2.554%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.554%
O/U 172.554%
2H O/U 86.554%
1H Spread -1.553%
2H Moneyline53%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.553%
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.552%
O/U 173.551%
1H O/U 86.551%
1Q Spread -0.551%
2Q Spread -0.551%
2Q O/U 43.551%
3Q Spread -0.551%
3Q O/U 43.551%
4Q O/U 43.551%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.550%
Spread -3.550%
1Q O/U 43.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 8.549%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 17.548%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.548%
Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.548%
2H Spread -1.548%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.548%
Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.547%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.546%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 23.545%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 18.544%
Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.544%
Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 13.544%
Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.542%
Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 2.541%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 9.540%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.540%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.540%
Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.537%
4Q Moneyline32%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.531%

Market context

Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 59% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-30T00:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 at 65% for "Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty".

Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 65% Other 35%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $97K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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