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Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide

How the prediction market is pricing "Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 1 Winner 100% Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Match O/U 21.5 98% Volume: $316K Liquidity: $285K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 1 Winner100%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Match O/U 21.598%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Match O/U 22.598%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide75%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Match O/U 23.573%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 2 Winner55%
Completed Match50%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of cincinnati open: diane parry vs caroline dolehide. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Diane Parry and Caroline Dolehide in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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