Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, w100 templeton, ca: irina balus vs krisha mahendran stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Irina Balus and Krisha Mahendran in the W100 Templeton, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. Th…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran on World Cup 2026 Favorites
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →