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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Football snapshot for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% O/U 3.5 Games 73% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? 63% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 62% Volume: $286K Liquidity: $381K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?63%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Odd/Even Total Kills54%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Game 4 Winner49%
First Blood in Game 3?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?49%
Game 1 Winner48%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 3 Winner48%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
First Blood in Game 4?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?47%
Match Winner46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?38%
O/U 4.5 Games37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor37%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors36%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?35%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Quadra Kill21%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Any Player Penta Kill7%
Any Player Penta Kill6%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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