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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Match Winner 62% Game 1 Winner 59% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $154K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Match Winner62%
Game 1 Winner59%
Game 2 Winner58%
Any Player Penta Kill55%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon39%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)34%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: dplus kia vs kt rolster (bo3) - lck round 3-4 legend group stands at 65% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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