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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants

How the prediction market is pricing "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 61% O/U 7.5 55% Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants 53% Volume: $221K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 4 Sept 2026
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.574%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.561%
O/U 7.555%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants53%
NRFI49%
O/U 8.547%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.547%
Spread -1.540%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.536%
O/U 9.536%
Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.526%
Spread -2.523%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants — current market-implied probability: 74%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 27 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondback…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 74% for "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $221K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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