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Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals

How the prediction market is pricing "Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals 61% O/U 6.5 54% Volume: $273K Liquidity: $338K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals61%
O/U 6.554%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -1.539%
O/U 7.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.530%
O/U 8.527%
Spread -1.518%
O/U 9.518%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.514%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, atlanta braves vs. st. louis cardinals stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 12 at 2:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $273K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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