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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

How the prediction market is pricing "Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees 83% O/U 5.5 79% O/U 6.5 71% Spread -2.5 55% Volume: $798K Liquidity: $19K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees83%
O/U 5.579%
O/U 6.571%
Spread -2.555%
O/U 7.554%
Spread -1.552%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.550%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.550%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 3.550%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 4.550%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 5.550%
New York Yankees O/U 1.550%
New York Yankees O/U 2.550%
New York Yankees O/U 3.550%
New York Yankees O/U 4.550%
New York Yankees O/U 5.550%
Spread -3.550%
Spread -1.56%
Spread -2.54%
NRFI0%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees — current market-implied probability: 83%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 25 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 83% for "Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees".

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees 83% Other 17%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $798K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees on World Cup 2026 Favorites

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Related Topics

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