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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Football snapshot for "Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 62% O/U 5.5 58% New York Yankees O/U 2.5 58% O/U 6.5 51% Volume: $277K Liquidity: $710K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.562%
O/U 5.558%
New York Yankees O/U 2.558%
O/U 6.551%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.551%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.551%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 4.551%
New York Yankees O/U 1.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.551%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 0.550%
New York Yankees O/U 3.550%
New York Yankees O/U 4.550%
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees49%
New York Yankees O/U 5.548%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 3.546%
NRFI38%
Extra Innings38%
O/U 7.537%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.537%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.536%
Spread -1.535%
Spread -1.531%
Spread -2.527%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.527%
Spread -2.523%

Market context

Market consensus: 62% chance of baltimore orioles vs. new york yankees. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltim…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 62% for "Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 62% Other 38%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $277K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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