Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals | 0% |
| NRFI | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Extra Innings | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Colorado Rockies visit the St. Louis Cardinals with the market sitting below a coin-flip, and the live pricing is consistent with a modest home-edge rather than a strong favourite. ESPN lists St. Louis at **57-58** and Colorado at **45-70**, with the Cardinals **28-32** at home and the Rockies **18-38** away, while the pregame line shows St. Louis as a **-165** moneyline favourite. The recent form split also leans Cardinals: St. Louis have gone **4-6** over their last 10 with a **4.04 ERA**, versus Colorado’s **3-7** with a **5.93 ERA** and a worse recent run prevention profile.[1][13]
The head-to-head context is more mixed than the season records suggest. Across the broader history, St. Louis have had the edge overall, including a strong home record in the matchup, but recent meetings have produced upset results and volatility rather than a clean pattern. AP’s series coverage notes the Cardinals led the series **1-0** at that point, while Statmuse’s game log shows Colorado have taken some of the more recent clashes, which argues against reading this as a one-way fixture.[2][4][8]
For traders, the main catalysts are the line-up cards and late injury calls. ESPN’s pregame notes list **Jordan Walker** as day-to-day for St. Louis and a long Rockies injury list that still includes **Kris Bryant**, **Jose Quintana**, **Chase Dollander** and several other pitchers on the IL, which matters because Colorado’s thinner staff has been the bigger drag on their results.[13] Recent AP coverage also flagged Cardinals absences or limitations around **Lars Nootbaar** and **Nolan Arenado**, so any late confirmation on those bats, plus whether either club uses an opener or shuffles the bullpen after a heavy workload, can move the true win probability meaningfully.[2][13]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $492K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals on World Cup 2026 Favorites
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →