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Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics

How the prediction market is pricing "Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 85% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 65% NRFI 58% Volume: $180K Liquidity: $930K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.585%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.565%
NRFI58%
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics56%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.555%
O/U 10.554%
Spread -1.547%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.545%
O/U 11.544%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.538%
Spread -2.538%
O/U 12.537%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.521%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Detroit and Oakland meet with the Tigers priced as a modest favourite, which fits the broader market pattern: Detroit is sitting around the mid-50s to high-50s on most win-probability reads, while the crowd-implied price of 56% YES is only slightly below the betting market’s 58% Tigers chance.[1][2] That sort of gap is small, but it matters in a matchup that has already shown how quickly the line can move with pitching news or lineup changes. Recent comparable games between these clubs have largely tracked the favourite, with Detroit winning 4-1 in one July meeting and the Tigers also being backed in several recent markets at similar price ranges.[17][20][3]

The main trader watchpoint is the confirmed starting pitcher and any late scratches, because the total is sitting in a mid-to-high range and the moneyline is tight enough for one lineup omission to shift it.[2][6] The Tigers have been stronger at home than the Athletics have been on the road in the recent head-to-head sample, and Detroit’s home record has been a consistent support for its pricing in earlier meetings.[3][8] On the other side, Oakland’s broader season record remains below .500, which has kept the market leaning to Detroit even when the Tigers’ edge is not overwhelming.[1][12]

Line-up confirmation before first pitch is the key dependency, especially if either side rests regulars after a day game or manages a minor injury. The game is scheduled for July 31 at 9:40 pm ET, so late breaking team reports could matter more than usual if the market is still open near first pitch.[2][15] If the announced starters are stronger than expected for Detroit, the current 56% crowd price can look conservative; if Oakland lands the better arm or Detroit is shorthanded, the edge can narrow fast.[2][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 85% for "Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 85% Other 15%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $180K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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