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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

How the prediction market is pricing "New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% O/U 7.5 49% NRFI 46% Volume: $245K Liquidity: $884K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.571%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
O/U 7.549%
NRFI46%
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays43%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.542%
Spread -1.539%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.525%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.523%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.520%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.512%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

The New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays prediction market currently prices this outcome at 71% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 9 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 71% for "New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $245K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays on World Cup 2026 Favorites

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Related Topics

Sports