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New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

"New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 3.5 72% O/U 4.5 60% Extra Innings 50% O/U 5.5 38% Volume: $459K Liquidity: $706K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.572%
O/U 4.560%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 5.538%
Spread -1.530%
O/U 6.529%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays26%
O/U 7.518%
Spread -2.514%
Spread -1.513%
O/U 8.513%
Spread -2.58%
O/U 9.57%
NRFI0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 72% YES probability for New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 14 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 3.5 at 72% for "New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays".

O/U 3.5 72% Other 28%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $459K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

Sports