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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers

How the prediction market is pricing "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 4.5 100% Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers 98% Spread -1.5 94% Spread -4.5 65% Volume: $488K Liquidity: $312K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 4.5100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers98%
Spread -1.594%
Spread -4.565%
O/U 5.559%
O/U 6.551%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -2.550%
Spread -3.550%
O/U 8.550%
O/U 7.532%
Spread -5.531%
Spread -1.53%
NRFI0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to philadelphia phillies vs. detroit tigers. In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 4.5 at 100% for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers".

O/U 4.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $488K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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