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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

How the prediction market is pricing "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals 100% NRFI 100% Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% Volume: $662K Liquidity: $2.5M Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals100%
NRFI100%
Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
O/U 10.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%
Extra Innings0%
O/U 9.50%
O/U 11.50%
O/U 12.50%
O/U 13.50%
O/U 14.50%
O/U 15.50%
O/U 8.50%
Spread -6.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pittsburgh pirates vs. washington nationals. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 4 at 11:05AM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals at 100% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals".

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $662K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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