Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 95% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 95% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 95% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 85% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 85% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 82% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 82% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 81% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 81% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 77% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 76% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 76% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 75% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 74% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 74% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 74% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 72% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 70% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 69% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 68% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 67% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 67% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 65% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 63% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 62% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 61% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 61% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 60% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 59% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 56% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 55% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 55% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 49% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 46% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 45% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 45% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 42% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 37% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 37% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 37% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 36% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 33% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 31% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 31% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 30% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 29% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 29% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 27% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 26% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 25% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 24% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 24% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 23% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 23% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 22% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 21% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 20% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 20% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 20% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 19% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 18% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 18% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 18% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 17% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 16% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 16% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 16% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 16% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 16% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 14% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 14% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 14% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 13% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 13% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 13% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 12% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 12% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 12% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 11% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 11% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 9% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 8% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 7% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 6% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 6% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 6% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 6% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 5% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 5% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 5% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 4% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 4% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 4% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props on World Cup 2026 Favorites
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →