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Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets

Football snapshot for "Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $161K Liquidity: $517K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Aberdeen FC O/U 0.5100%
Aberdeen FC O/U 1.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Aberdeen FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Aberdeen FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Aberdeen FC (-1.5)0%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)0%
Aberdeen FC (-2.5)0%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Aberdeen FC O/U 2.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.50%
Aberdeen FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Aberdeen FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Aberdeen host Heart of Midlothian in a Scottish Premiership opener, and the **0% YES** price on “More markets” implies the market is treating this as a placeholder rather than a resolved event. That matters because the main readthrough is not about one outcome but about whether the match produces any of the listed side-markets once team news and match conditions are known.

The historical frame is mixed enough to keep traders cautious about assuming a one-way script. Aberdeen have won **10 of the last 11 home league meetings** with Hearts, with the exception of a goalless draw in January 2025, but Hearts also won the most recent league meeting **1-0** in February 2026.[1][8] Across broader head-to-head data, the fixture has often been tight, with recent meetings producing a spread of narrow wins and draws rather than consistently high-scoring games.[7][16][17] That combination usually keeps “more markets” sensitive to whether the line-up leans towards first-choice attackers or whether the game starts conservatively.

The main catalysts are the published teams and any late absences, especially in central defence, the No 9 position and set-piece takers, because those affect cards, corners and goal-related derivatives as much as the match result itself. Aberdeen’s official match page and live pre-match coverage are the key places to check once line-ups are released, while BBC’s live match page has already highlighted the venue context and the recent H2H trend.[1][3] If either side rotates heavily after the summer break or has a late injury call, that is the sort of news that can move secondary markets sharply before kick-off.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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