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UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)

How the prediction market is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Hasan to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $237K Liquidity: $3K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Hasan to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Rojas to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: bilal hasan vs. nilson rojas (flyweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Bilal Hasan" if Bilal Hasan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nilson Rojas at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)".

Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $237K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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