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UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

How the prediction market is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 88% O/U 1.5 Rounds 71% O/U 2.5 Rounds 57% Fight to Go the Distance? 51% Volume: $67K Liquidity: $179K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds88%
O/U 1.5 Rounds71%
O/U 2.5 Rounds57%
Fight to Go the Distance?51%
Fight won by KO/TKO?39%
Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad37%
Grad to win by KO/TKO?21%
Buzukja to win by KO/TKO?18%
Fight won by submission?13%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 88% YES. This market will resolve to "Dennis Buzukja" if Dennis Buzukja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Grad at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 88% for "UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 88% Other 12%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $67K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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