When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Li… | Worldcup2026favorites

Name: UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
Start: 2026-10-19T22:00:18.000Z
End: 2026-10-25T03:59:59.999Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Trade this market →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Trade this market →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Steele to win by KO/TKO?	100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds	100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?	98%
Ends before Round 2?	51%
Ends before Round 3?	50%
Gugnon in Round 1	50%
Gugnon in Round 2	50%
Gugnon in Round 3	50%
Steele in Round 1	50%
Steele in Round 2	50%
Steele in Round 3	50%
Gugnon to win by KO/TKO?	3%
Fight won by decision?	3%
Decision or Draw	3%
Fight won by submission?	2%
O/U 1.5 Rounds	1%
O/U 2.5 Rounds	1%
Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele	0%
Fight to Go the Distance?	0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc 333: noah gugnon vs. kody steele (lightweight, early prelims). This market will resolve to "Noah Gugnon" if Noah Gugnon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kody Steele at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Steele to win by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)".

Steele to win by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $245K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?: Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?: Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?: Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?: Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?: This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

Alex ChenPrediction Market Analystand

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, E… on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, E… on World Cup 2026 Favorites

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