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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

How the prediction market is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Dulatov to win by KO/TKO? 51% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Fight won by submission? 50% Volume: $672K Liquidity: $372K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?51%
Dulatov to win by KO/TKO?51%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%
Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov49%
Turman to win by KO/TKO?49%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 51% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Wellington Turman" if Wellington Turman is officially declared the winner of the fight against Islam Dulatov at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for J…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 51% for "UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Other 49%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $672K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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