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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

"Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

FC Bayern München (-1.5) 100% FC Bayern München (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $299K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC Bayern München (-1.5)100%
FC Bayern München (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
FC Bayern München O/U 0.5100%
FC Bayern München O/U 1.5100%
FC Bayern München O/U 2.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5)0%
FC Bayern München (-3.5)0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-4.5)0%
FC Bayern München (-4.5)0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-5.5)0%
FC Bayern München (-5.5)0%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 3.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 4.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 5.50%
FC Bayern München O/U 3.50%
FC Bayern München O/U 4.50%
FC Bayern München O/U 5.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 3.50%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 4.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 3.50%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 3.50%

Market context

The Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. More markets for the UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for September 30 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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