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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

"Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) 52% Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5) 51% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $270K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)52%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Winner48%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Match Winner22%
Map 1 Winner7%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 52% YES probability for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 3 match between Evil Geniuses and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This m…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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