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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

"Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) 100% Volume: $261K Liquidity: $911K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs XLG Gaming (+8.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs XLG Gaming (+9.5)53%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-11.5) vs XLG Gaming (+11.5)53%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.547%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-12.5) vs XLG Gaming (+12.5)1%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: gentle mates vs xlg gaming (bo3) - esports world cup group c. This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and XLG Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 3 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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