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Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

How the prediction market is pricing "Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) 100% Volume: $398K Liquidity: $344K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
O/U 2.5 Games97%
Match Winner60%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)46%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)27%
Map 2 Winner1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Karmine Corp (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Karmine Corp (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: nrg vs karmine corp (bo3) - esports world cup group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between NRG and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 6 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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