🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction market is pricing "Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $591K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs MIBR (+4.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs MIBR (+5.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs MIBR (+7.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs MIBR (+8.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs MIBR (+9.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: nrg vs mibr (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between NRG and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 18 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "N…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

Trade Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 G… on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →