Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 99% |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream | 57% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| O/U 161.5 | 49% |
| O/U 162.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
Market context
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream — current market-implied probability: 99%. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $205K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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