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World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?

"World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

King Felipe VI 100% Mikie Sherrill 100% Kathy Hochul 100% David Beckham 100% Volume: $134K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
King Felipe VI100%
Mikie Sherrill100%
Kathy Hochul100%
David Beckham100%
Tom Brady100%
Sean Duffy100%
Marco Rubio100%
Drake100%
Serena Williams100%
Timothée Chalamet100%
Antonela Roccuzzo100%
Zinedine Zidane100%
Mark Carney100%
Claudia Sheinbaum100%
Javier Milei0%
Rupert Murdoch0%
Pam Bondi0%
Kristi Noem0%
Cristiano Ronaldo0%
Elon Musk0%
Jeff Bezos0%
LeBron James0%
Kim Kardashian0%
Leonardo DiCaprio0%
Bad Bunny0%
Rosalía0%
Rafael Nadal0%
Pep Guardiola0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to world cup final: who will attend?. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attending the match is defined as being in physical atte…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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