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Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez

How the prediction market is pricing "Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 50% Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5 50% Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 10.5 50% Volume: $413K Liquidity: $299K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match50%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 22.544%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 21.543%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 23.543%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 Winner14%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.513%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez11%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Game Spread +/-4.51%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner0%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 50% chance of singapore open: mirra andreeva vs leylah fernandez. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mirra Andreeva and Leylah Fernandez in the Singapore Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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Related Topics

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