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Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic

How the prediction market is pricing "Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $171K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic0%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 Winner0%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 Winner0%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Match O/U 21.50%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Match O/U 22.50%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic. This market refers to the tennis match between Mona Barthel and Lola Radivojevic in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mona Barthel' if Mona …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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