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Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot

How the prediction market is pricing "Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot 100% Completed Match 100% Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 Winner 100% Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $87K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot100%
Completed Match100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 Winner100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 Winner100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Game Spread +/-0.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 21.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

The Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Harold Mayot in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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