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Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston

How the prediction market is pricing "Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 Winner 100% Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $188K Liquidity: $338K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 Winner100%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 21.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 22.591%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston61%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.556%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-2.552%
Completed Match50%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.51%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner0%
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

The Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Hugo Gaston in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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