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Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones

How the prediction market is pricing "Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 21.5 50% Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 Winner 50% Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% Volume: $156K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 21.550%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 Winner50%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 22.550%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 23.550%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones0%
Completed Match0%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 Winner0%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Felix Gill and Jack Pinnington Jones are scheduled to meet in Brownsburg on 13 August 2026, with the match originally set for 1:00PM ET. The current 0% implied probability for Gill suggests the market has priced him as a heavy underdog or reflects uncertainty about match completion. Given the settlement window extends to 20 August, there is a seven-day buffer before the market resolves to 50-50 if the match remains unplayed or incomplete.

The 0% reading is unusual for a match between two active professional players and warrants scrutiny of recent form and availability. Gill, a British player competing primarily on the lower-tier professional circuits, has limited head-to-head history against Pinnington Jones, another British competitor. Recent results and ranking trajectories between these two would normally establish baseline expectations; the complete absence of probability for Gill suggests either significant injury concerns, withdrawal rumours, or a technical issue with market pricing rather than genuine certainty about the outcome.

Traders should monitor official tournament draws and player status announcements through early August, particularly any injury disclosures or late withdrawals from either player. Brownsburg's specific tournament—likely a Challenger or ITF-level event—should be verified against ATP or professional tennis calendars to confirm scheduling. Any announcement of Gill's unavailability would justify the current pricing; conversely, confirmation of both players' participation would signal a repricing opportunity if Gill's odds remain anchored at zero.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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