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Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet

How the prediction market is pricing "Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 1 Winner 100% Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $168K Liquidity: $374K Closes: 26 Aug 2026
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Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 1 Winner100%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Match O/U 21.575%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Match O/U 22.575%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Match O/U 23.575%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet50%
Completed Match50%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 2 Winner0%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to sion: lorenzo giustino vs henry bernet. This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Henry Bernet in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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