🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac

How the prediction market is pricing "China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5 100% Volume: $301K Liquidity: $268K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
Open live market →
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 23.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.591%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 9.591%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 10.591%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.591%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 Winner78%
Completed Match54%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Game Spread +/-1.550%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac45%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 1 Winner0%
China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to china open, qualification: yannick hanfmann vs tomas machac. This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Tomas Machac in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas… on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets