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Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina

How the prediction market is pricing "Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina 100% Completed Match 100% Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 2 Winner 100% Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $84K Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina100%
Completed Match100%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 2 Winner100%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Match O/U 21.5100%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Match O/U 22.5100%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Match O/U 23.5100%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 Winner0%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of jingshan: marat sharipov vs dalibor svrcina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Dalibor Svrcina in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Jingshan: Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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Related Topics

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