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Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon

How the prediction market is pricing "Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 1 Winner 100% Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $392K Closes: 21 Sept 2026
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Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 1 Winner100%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Match O/U 21.5100%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 2 Winner50%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Match O/U 22.550%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Match O/U 23.550%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Game Spread +/-1.550%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon0%
Completed Match0%
Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Hamish Stewart and Daniel Rincon in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hamish Stewart' i…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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