Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiaqi Wang and Yidi Yang in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang'…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for W75 Tianjin: Jiaqi Wang vs Yidi Yang. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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