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National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean

How the prediction market is pricing "National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean 56% National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 Winner 51% Completed Match 50% National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% Volume: $53K Liquidity: $64K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean56%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 Winner51%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 2 Winner50%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set Handicap +/-1.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Match O/U 21.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Match O/U 22.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set Handicap +/-1.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Match O/U 23.550%
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 2 O/U 10.550%

Market context

National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean — current market-implied probability: 56%. This market refers to the tennis match between Magdalena Frech and Leolia Jeanjean in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Magdal…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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