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Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee

How the prediction market is pricing "Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $81K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee0%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 Winner0%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 Winner0%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 21.50%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 22.50%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

The Livesport Prague Open qualification match between Priscilla Hon and Carol Young Suh Lee is scheduled for today, with Hon entering in severely compromised form after retiring against Karman Kaur Thandi in the same tournament just hours prior. Hon’s 2026 season record stands at 5 wins to 15 losses, a 25% win rate that marks her as being in “very bad” form, while her current WTA ranking has slipped to 161st, far below her career-high of 94th achieved in October 2025 [1][10][11].

Historical data on qualification matches involving players who retire mid-tournament shows a consistent collapse in win probability for the retiring player in subsequent events, often dropping to near-zero as fitness and confidence erode; this aligns with the current 0% crowd-implied probability for Hon advancing. Her recent results include straight-set losses at Wimbledon to Nao Hibino and the French Open to Jessika Ponchet, with no clay-court wins in the last 52 weeks at WTA level, a surface where she holds a 1–2 record overall [1][6].

Traders should monitor official WTA injury updates and Hon’s physical status post-retirement, as a hip injury previously sidelined her for months in 2025 and could recur [8]. The key catalyst is whether Hon withdraws entirely from Prague or attempts to play Lee; if she plays, her 60.4% first-serve accuracy and 2.75 aces per match in 2026 offer minimal upside against a likely fresher opponent [10]. No recent news source confirms Lee’s form, but Hon’s withdrawal risk remains the primary dependency for market resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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