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Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas

Football snapshot for "Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas 100% Completed Match 100% Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $160K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas100%
Completed Match100%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 1 Winner100%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 2 Winner100%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Match O/U 21.50%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Match O/U 22.50%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to warsaw: gabriela knutson vs sofia costoulas. This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Knutson and Sofia Costoulas in the Warsaw, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Knutson'…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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