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China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger

How the prediction market is pricing "China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger 100% Completed Match 100% China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 1 Winner 100% China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $58K Closes: 7 Oct 2026
Open live market →
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger100%
Completed Match100%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 1 Winner100%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 Winner100%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 1 O/U 10.50%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 O/U 8.50%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 O/U 9.50%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 O/U 10.50%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Match O/U 21.50%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Match O/U 22.50%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Match O/U 23.50%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Set Handicap +/-1.50%
China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger Game Spread +/-0.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to china open: gabriela ruse vs lilli tagger. This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Ruse and Lilli Tagger in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ruse'…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for China Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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