Highest temperature in Munich on August 7?

Platform comparison

Market context

Munich Airport Station’s high on 7 August is what will decide this market, and the current 0% YES price sits well below the sort of late-summer temperatures Munich can still produce. Forecasts for early August point to a warm day, with daily highs around 24–25°C in several sources and one AccuWeather outlook for Munich showing 81°F, or about 27°C, for 7 August, which is enough to keep a mid-to-high 20s outcome in play if the boundary layer mixes well.[1][7][14][16]

For context, Munich’s August climatology is not especially hot, but it is variable: long-run summaries put typical daytime highs around 22–25°C, with average August highs near 23–24°C and some days reaching the high 20s.[9][10][12] That means a reading below 25°C would be broadly normal, while a brief warm spike towards 27–30°C would still be plausible if sunshine holds and rain stays away; one forecast source already flags a wet shower scenario, while another describes the day as partly cloudy and very warm.[2][14][16]

The main trader watchpoints are the final hourly temperature profile, any updated Munich Airport forecast, and whether showers or cloud build enough to cap the day’s maximum before the midday deadline implied by the market rules.[14][16] Munich’s forecast also shows no major wind or precipitation signal in some sources, which would favour a firmer daytime climb, but the spread between weather models is wide enough that a single updated forecast package could shift expectations materially.[13][14][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Munich on August 7?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

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FAQ

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