Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?

Platform comparison

Market context

The highest temperature recorded at Incheon International Airport on 14 July 2026 will determine which range this market settles into. Seoul's mid-July climate sits firmly within the East Asian summer monsoon season, when the Korean peninsula experiences peak heat and humidity. Historical data from Incheon Airport shows July averages around 29°C, with daily highs typically ranging between 28–32°C, though extremes occasionally breach 35°C during heat waves.

Seoul experienced a notable heat spike in July 2023 when temperatures reached 33°C on multiple consecutive days, and July 2022 saw readings consistently above 30°C throughout the month. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either pricing in an exceptionally cool day or treating the market as a placeholder pending clearer seasonal forecasts. Incheon Airport's coastal location moderates temperatures slightly compared to central Seoul, which typically runs 1–2°C warmer.

Traders should monitor the East Asian weather pattern in early July 2026, particularly the position of the Pacific high-pressure system and any tropical cyclone activity in the region, both of which significantly influence Korean summer temperatures. The Korea Meteorological Administration's extended forecasts, released in late June 2026, will provide the most reliable signal for seasonal anomalies. Any unusual atmospheric blocking patterns or delayed monsoon onset could shift expected ranges materially.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.