Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Shanghai's highest temperature on 13 August 2026 will be measured at Pudong International Airport Station and recorded in Weather Underground's Daily Observations table. August is Shanghai's hottest month, with mean daily highs typically between 32–33°C, though extremes regularly exceed 35°C. The city experiences a subtropical monsoon climate where summer heat is intensified by high humidity and urban heat island effects.

Historical August records for Shanghai show considerable year-to-year variation. The all-time August high stands at 40.9°C (recorded in 2013), whilst more typical extreme days reach 36–38°C. Over the past decade, roughly 40–50% of August days have exceeded 35°C at the airport station. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders expect a notably cool day for the season, which would require either an unusual weather system or measurement conditions that suppress typical summer heating.

The primary catalyst affecting August 2026 temperatures will be the East Asian monsoon pattern and any tropical cyclone activity in the western Pacific. Typhoons approaching or passing near Shanghai can dramatically lower temperatures through cloud cover and precipitation, though they typically occur in late August rather than mid-month. Traders should monitor seasonal forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and real-time atmospheric pressure systems in early August 2026. The resolution depends entirely on the specific reading at Pudong station; inland or coastal variations will not factor into the settlement.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.