🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Football snapshot for "Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 1 Winner 81% Match Winner 64% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 55% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5) 55% Volume: $2.8M Liquidity: $279K Closes: 10 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner81%
Match Winner64%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.555%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)55%
Map 2 Winner53%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs MOUZ (+6.5)51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs Spirit (+6.5)43%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs Spirit (+9.5)43%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)42%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)32%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.528%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.518%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)13%

Market context

Market consensus: 81% chance of counter-strike: mouz vs spirit (bo3) - esl pro league playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro Leagu… on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →